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Advertising campaigns in an economic crisis: what to do and what not to do

What to do with your campaigns during economic crises or high inflation: a 4 decision framework, instead of pausing everything or keeping everything the same.

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The first reflex during a crisis is usually the same: cut ad budget evenly across the board, like flipping off a light switch to save money. It's understandable, but it's rarely the decision that best protects the business. An economic crisis doesn't change the rules of performance marketing, it changes the numbers you need to recalculate, and the priorities within whatever budget remains.

What's actually happening: three distinct symptoms

"There's a crisis" doesn't describe just one thing. Figuring out which of these three symptoms is dominant changes the right response:

SymptomWhat it meansResponse
Demand contractionFewer people are buying the category overallAdjust volume goals; don't force the same budget against less real demand
Purchasing power contractionThe same number of people buy, but with a lower average ticketReview the product/service mix; entry level offers at a more accessible price point
Higher price sensitivityThe buying decision becomes more rational and comparison drivenMore direct messaging about value, financing, and guarantees, less aspirational

Framework: 4 decisions before touching budget

  1. Recalculate your maximum tolerable CAC with current costs. If costs are rising faster than prices, the margin available for advertising changes, and the how much to invest in digital advertising calculation needs to be redone with fresh data, not the margin from six months ago.
  2. Identify what to cut using data, not evenly across the board. Cutting the same percentage from every campaign punishes the ones that work well just as much as the ones that don't. Cutting the least efficient ones first (see the diagnostic in how to lower your CAC) protects the outcome far better than a flat, across the board cut.
  3. Prioritize retention over cold acquisition. Winning back an existing customer usually costs less than acquiring a new one, and that gap widens during a contraction, lever #7 from how to lower your CAC (retention and repeat purchases) gains relative weight exactly when protecting CAC matters most.
  4. Adjust your messaging before your budget. Reinforcing financing, guarantees, and value arguments usually moves the needle more than simply advertising less with the same old message.

The opportunity almost nobody looks at

When several competitors do cut their budgets abruptly, ad costs can drop for whoever stays in, fewer advertisers competing for the same audience. Sustaining disciplined investment (not the same as before, but not zero either) at a moment when others are pulling back can be a real opportunity to gain ground at a lower cost, as long as the business has the margin to sustain it.

Common mistakes

Pausing 100% of ad spend all at once. Beyond losing the visibility already built, reactivating an account after a long pause usually starts from worse results than it had before pausing.

Keeping the same target CAC without recalculating it. A CAC that was profitable with costs from six months ago may not be profitable today if costs have risen faster than prices.

Cutting budget evenly across all campaigns. Without looking at which ones are most efficient, an across the board cut ends up protecting the worst parts of the account as much as the best.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I pause all advertising during an economic crisis?

Generally, no. Adjusting budget with criteria (cutting the least efficient spend first, prioritizing retention) usually protects the business better than a full pause, which also complicates reactivating later.

How do I recalculate my budget if my costs went up due to inflation?

By redoing the maximum tolerable CAC calculation with your current margin, not with previous months', the full framework is in how much to invest in digital advertising.

Is it a good time to invest in advertising if my competitors are cutting back?

It can be, if the business has the margin to sustain it: with fewer advertisers competing, ad costs tend to drop, which can represent an opportunity to gain ground at a lower cost.

Conclusion

An economic crisis doesn't invalidate performance marketing, it demands recalculating the numbers with current data and prioritizing with more discipline than in a stable environment. The difference between a business that comes out of a crisis bruised and one that comes out stronger is rarely how much it cut: it's how well it decided what to cut.

Need to rethink your advertising strategy given the current environment? Book a free audit with KLIV and let's build a plan together using your business's real numbers. Book a call →

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